Moen vs Sparta Heestert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KFM
1 - 3
RUM
26%
21%
54%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SAS
2 - 2
KFM
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
KFM
2 - 4
DOT
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
3 - 1
KFM
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
KFM
2 - 0
WEV
15%
17%
69%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +4 |
Matches
Sparta Heestert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SHE
0 - 3
DIK
16%
18%
66%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SHE
4 - 0
MEU
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
OOS
1 - 2
SHE
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
KEZ
1 - 4
SHE
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
SHE
2 - 1
OOS
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |