FA Trophy . 1/512
Global 3-2
Kettering Town vs Romulus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
KET
3 - 0
NOR
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ASH
0 - 2
KET
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
KET
0 - 2
RUG
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
KET
4 - 3
AYL
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
4 - 1
KET
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 5
COA
18%
21%
61%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 0
ROM
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 2
LEE
25%
23%
51%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 2
ROM
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BED
1 - 2
ROM
42%
25%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |