Kerry FC vs Wexford Youths analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
67.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+443%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
10º
10º
24
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 78 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 59 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 59 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 59 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 51 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 47 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 29 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 21 |
10º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 82% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
FIN
0 - 0
KEF
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 1
COB
12%
19%
69%
|
9 | 55 | 46 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 1
KEF
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 50 | 42 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
KEF
0 - 1
TRE
13%
20%
67%
|
8 | 53 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 3
BRW
12%
20%
68%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | -1 |
Matches
Wexford Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BRW
3 - 4
WEX
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 2
FIN
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 2
WEX
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 0
WEX
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 1
WEX
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |