Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
80.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
11%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
10º
10º
44
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 1
KEF
84%
12%
5%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 1
DRO
7%
12%
81%
|
15 | 60 | 45 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
WEX
3 - 2
KEF
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
KEF
2 - 2
COB
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 51 | 41 | +5 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
KEF
87%
9%
3%
|
10 | 69 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
BRW
0 - 1
WAT
9%
19%
72%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
BRW
0 - 1
DUN
11%
18%
71%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
COB
3 - 3
BRW
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 4
LON
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 2
ATH
32%
24%
45%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |