Kepez Belediyespor vs Erbaaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
8º
2º
39
1º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 44 |
10º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
69.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
71% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
66% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 35 |
15º
|
59% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 29 |
17º
|
69% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kepez Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
ICE
1 - 0
KEP
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
KEP
0 - 3
NAZ
24%
27%
49%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +10 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BAT
3 - 0
KEP
69%
19%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
KEP
0 - 3
ORH
31%
25%
45%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
KEC
5 - 0
KEP
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Erbaaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
ERB
1 - 4
BKS
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
KBS
1 - 0
ERB
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ERB
1 - 2
BAT
32%
29%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ERB
0 - 1
OSK
53%
27%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
HEN
2 - 2
ERB
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |