Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
10º
8º
58
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KHE
0 - 0
CLY
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 0
KHE
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
FAL
0 - 0
KHE
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
KHE
1 - 2
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AIR
6 - 1
KHE
54%
23%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 2
QOS
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
0 - 1
AIR
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PET
0 - 2
ALL
9%
18%
72%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALL
3 - 1
CLY
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EDI
0 - 2
ALL
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |