Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
KEI
0 - 1
WIC
13%
17%
71%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
COV
7 - 1
KEI
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
KEI
0 - 6
FOR
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 3
KEI
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BRO
9 - 0
KEI
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
INV
3 - 0
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
52 | 11 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
INV
2 - 1
FRA
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
INV
5 - 0
LOS
83%
11%
6%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
COV
1 - 2
INV
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
INV
1 - 2
BRO
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |