Keith vs Fraserburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
82.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
KEI
0 - 6
BRE
15%
21%
65%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 2
FOR
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 3
KEI
15%
18%
68%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CLA
0 - 1
KEI
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
KEI
5 - 1
STR
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 1
TUR
93%
5%
2%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
LOS
1 - 3
FRA
4%
11%
85%
|
58 | 23 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FRA
7 - 0
CLA
93%
5%
2%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 3
BUC
63%
19%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
HUN
1 - 2
FRA
5%
12%
83%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |