Keith vs Fort William analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
KEI
14%
17%
70%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
KEI
0 - 0
HUN
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 0
LOS
55%
20%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 0
KEI
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
KEI
2 - 4
DEV
42%
22%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fort William
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
KEI
14%
17%
70%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
INV
2 - 0
FOR
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 0
FOR
84%
10%
5%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
FOR
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 46 | 39 | +4 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 4
NAI
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | -2 |