Keith vs Formartine United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
83.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.1%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
COV
2 - 0
KEI
90%
7%
2%
|
19 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
STI
2 - 1
KEI
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
KEI
0 - 2
STR
94%
5%
1%
|
20 | 6 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 4
KEI
6%
11%
83%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
KEI
0 - 3
FOR
7%
14%
78%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 0
FRA
50%
23%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
COV
2 - 0
FOR
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
COL
1 - 1
FOR
74%
16%
9%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
STR
1 - 1
FOR
3%
9%
89%
|
50 | 5 | 45 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
FOR
66%
18%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |