Estonia Third Division West/South Round 20

Keila JK vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis

Keila JK Vaprus Pärnu II
24 ELO 26
28.9% Tilt 36.1%
6495º General ELO ranking 36193º
36º Country ELO ranking 263º
ELO win probability
58%
Keila JK
18.7%
Draw
23.3%
Vaprus Pärnu II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
Keila JK
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
23.3%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu II
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Keila JK
+229%
+18%
Vaprus Pärnu II

ELO progression

Keila JK
Vaprus Pärnu II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Keila JK
Keila JK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2021
PAI
Paide III
4 - 1
Keila JK
KEI
88%
9%
4%
25 54 29 0
16 Sep. 2021
VJK
Viimsi JK II
5 - 2
Keila JK
KEI
37%
21%
41%
26 26 0 -1
12 Sep. 2021
KEI
Keila JK
0 - 3
Kuressaare II
KUR
19%
18%
63%
28 44 16 -2
04 Sep. 2021
RUD
Rummu Dünamo
4 - 4
Keila JK
KEI
6%
10%
84%
29 9 20 -1
29 Aug. 2021
KEI
Keila JK
2 - 7
Saue JK Laagri
SJL
50%
20%
31%
30 35 5 -1

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu II
Vaprus Pärnu II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2021
TUL
Tulevik II
6 - 1
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
39%
22%
39%
27 23 4 0
10 Sep. 2021
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu II
3 - 0
JK Piraaja
PIR
58%
20%
22%
26 23 3 +1
04 Sep. 2021
JOK
Joker
3 - 4
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
59%
19%
21%
25 29 4 +1
30 Aug. 2021
RAP
Raplamaa
4 - 2
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
68%
17%
15%
26 33 7 -1
25 Aug. 2021
RUD
Rummu Dünamo
1 - 7
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
10%
15%
76%
25 10 15 +1