Kehlen vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kehlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
DCE
2 - 1
KEH
46%
24%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
KEH
1 - 1
GRE
41%
25%
35%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
ORA
0 - 3
KEH
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
YBD
3 - 2
KEH
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
KEH
1 - 1
BBM
45%
24%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
LOR
0 - 6
JEU
34%
24%
43%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FCA
4 - 1
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 0
JGI
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
DCE
4 - 1
LOR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
WIN
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |