Keflavik vs Throttur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
FJO
1 - 3
KEF
24%
23%
52%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
KEF
1 - 0
LEI
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
KEF
6 - 0
THR
70%
17%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
KEF
5 - 4
LEI
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
KEF
3 - 0
SEL
64%
18%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Throttur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
THR
1 - 1
LEI
55%
21%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
VOL
2 - 3
THR
29%
22%
49%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
THR
7 - 0
KFH
80%
12%
8%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
THR
0 - 1
VES
49%
22%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
THR
3 - 4
IAA
29%
21%
50%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |