Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kayserispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
KAY
1 - 1
BJK
17%
23%
61%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AKB
0 - 0
KAY
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
BOL
0 - 0
KAY
25%
23%
52%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
IST
5 - 0
KAY
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 1
KAY
8%
16%
76%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
FEN
3 - 0
DIY
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 0
IST
62%
21%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 2
FEN
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FEN
2 - 2
ADA
83%
13%
5%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
FEN
3 - 1
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |