Kayanza vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kayanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
DYN
1 - 2
KAY
39%
27%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
KAY
1 - 1
BUJ
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
KAY
0 - 1
ANM
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
RMU
0 - 2
KAY
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
KAY
2 - 0
FLA
41%
25%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NGO
1 - 0
ANM
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
RMU
1 - 0
NGO
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NGO
0 - 2
FLA
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 0
NGO
42%
27%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NGO
0 - 0
MFC
41%
27%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |