Kavala vs Thesprotos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
AOK
3 - 1
TRI
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PIE
0 - 2
AOK
32%
29%
40%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
AOK
0 - 1
APO
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
PAN
1 - 3
AOK
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
AOK
2 - 1
ALA
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thesprotos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
KOZ
1 - 1
THE
53%
24%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
THE
1 - 2
APO
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 1
THE
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
PAN
1 - 0
THE
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
THE
0 - 2
PIE
31%
26%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |