Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 0
VEG
50%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
CER
5 - 0
KAR
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
VEN
1 - 4
KAR
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
KAR
2 - 4
GAM
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
AVI
0 - 2
KAR
21%
26%
53%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
CER
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
OMI
0 - 1
SAN
32%
27%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
GAM
5 - 3
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
MON
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
KAW
2 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |