Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
VIS
0 - 2
KAR
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
KAR
2 - 0
JEF
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
GAM
1 - 0
KAR
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
KAR
1 - 2
NAG
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
URA
2 - 3
KAR
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
SAN
2 - 1
KYO
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
SHO
2 - 3
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
SAN
2 - 3
TOK
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
VIS
3 - 2
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
SAN
2 - 1
JEF
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |