Kashiwa Reysol vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FCY
3 - 3
KAR
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
KAR
1 - 1
JEF
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
KAW
1 - 1
KAR
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2009 |
GAM
1 - 0
KAR
69%
17%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Dec. 2008 |
FCT
1 - 2
KAR
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
OMI
1 - 1
VIS
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 3
OMI
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
OMI
0 - 0
SHI
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
JUB
0 - 1
OMI
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
OMI
1 - 1
KYO
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |