Kashiwa Reysol vs Júbilo Iwata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
KAR
1 - 3
JEF
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
SHI
2 - 1
KAR
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
KAR
1 - 3
FCT
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
FCY
3 - 2
KAR
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
KAR
1 - 2
URA
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
JUB
4 - 0
VEG
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 1
JUB
18%
21%
61%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
JUB
5 - 4
GAM
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
JEF
2 - 2
JUB
19%
21%
59%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
JUB
3 - 1
SHI
69%
19%
13%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |