Karviná vs Baník Ostrava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
8º
16º
8º
64
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karviná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TEP
1 - 3
KAR
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 2
BOH
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VKP
5 - 0
KAR
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
KAR
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 3
SLI
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 0
SLI
50%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
BAN
38%
26%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 0
FCK
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 0
HRA
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 0
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |