Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
12º
4º
61
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
44% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
44% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
72% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karpaty Lviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
VOR
0 - 0
KPT
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
KPT
1 - 0
LNZ
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
DYN
2 - 0
KPT
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
KPT
1 - 1
ZIM
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
KPT
0 - 3
POL
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
SHA
1 - 1
HKR
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
SHA
3 - 0
PFC
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
1 - 0
LIV
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
AUD
0 - 0
SHA
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 0
GOR
70%
17%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |