Karlsruher SC vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
COT
2 - 1
KSC
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 1
M05
28%
27%
46%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
WAC
0 - 0
KSC
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
KSC
2 - 2
ARB
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 0
RWA
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ERZ
2 - 0
RWA
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 4
ERZ
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 0
OSN
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
FCN
2 - 0
ERZ
67%
20%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ERZ
0 - 1
AAA
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |