MLS . Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HOD
2 - 0
KCW
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
KCW
2 - 1
PHU
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
RBN
0 - 0
KCW
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COC
1 - 1
KCW
39%
28%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
KCW
2 - 0
CFS
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HOD
2 - 0
KCW
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
COR
2 - 0
HOD
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
HOD
1 - 1
OLI
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HOD
3 - 1
PHU
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HOD
1 - 1
MON
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |