CONCACAF Champions Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Sporting Kansas City vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SES
1 - 0
KCW
49%
27%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
KCW
1 - 1
RSL
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
KCW
2 - 1
HOD
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HOD
0 - 0
KCW
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
KCW
3 - 1
NER
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 1
CAZ
17%
21%
62%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TIG
3 - 0
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ALT
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
QRO
1 - 3
CAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |