CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Kano Pillars vs Al-Ahly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kano Pillars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
KAN
2 - 1
AKW
51%
28%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
KAN
2 - 1
ZAM
44%
29%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
KAN
0 - 0
ASD
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
KAN
0 - 0
OCE
53%
27%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 0
KAN
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
GHA
0 - 0
ALA
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 1
ETI
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
YOU
0 - 1
ALA
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 1
ITT
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
3 - 0
YOU
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |