Kaluga vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
KHI
3 - 0
KAL
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
KAL
0 - 1
FCA
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
KAL
1 - 0
STR
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SOK
2 - 1
KAL
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
KAL
0 - 1
MET
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ZEN
1 - 0
ROT
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
STR
4 - 0
ZEN
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ZEN
3 - 3
MET
17%
25%
58%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ENE
3 - 2
ZEN
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ZEN
1 - 0
SAT
13%
22%
65%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |