Kaluga vs Avangard Kursk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SOK
1 - 2
KAL
74%
17%
8%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
FKF
1 - 0
KAL
18%
22%
61%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
ZVE
2 - 0
KAL
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
KAL
0 - 1
LUK
65%
19%
17%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
KAL
2 - 1
MET
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 1
SAT
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
ZAN
0 - 2
AVA
14%
21%
66%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
KHI
1 - 2
AVA
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
FCN
3 - 1
AVA
30%
22%
48%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
YEN
4 - 1
AVA
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |