Kalmar FF vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
13º
6º
45
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kalmar FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DEG
1 - 3
KAL
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 0
MFF
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
KAL
45%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 0
HÄC
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ELF
0 - 3
KAL
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
IFK
3 - 1
GÖT
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IFK
2 - 1
NOR
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MJÄ
2 - 3
IFK
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 1
SIR
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DJU
1 - 2
IFK
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |