Kaliakra vs Montana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
SSO
0 - 1
KAL
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
KAL
0 - 0
MIN
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 2
KAL
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
KAL
1 - 0
DOB
70%
20%
11%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 1
KAL
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
LSO
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CVA
2 - 1
MON
62%
24%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MON
0 - 2
LSO
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
OFK
2 - 0
MON
55%
25%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
LOK
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |