Kaliakra vs Botev Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CHE
5 - 3
KAL
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KAL
3 - 1
DVE
90%
8%
2%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 2
KAL
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
KAL
3 - 1
KUB
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SVE
1 - 0
KAL
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Botev Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SEP
0 - 2
BOT
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
PLA
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
HIM
2 - 1
BOT
10%
17%
74%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 0
BOT
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |