Kaiserslautern vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
MUN
2 - 1
KAI
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
BVB
1 - 1
KAI
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
KAI
0 - 2
S04
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
WOL
4 - 1
KAI
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
MON
2 - 1
KAI
38%
25%
38%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
KOL
1 - 0
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
KOL
3 - 0
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
ROS
1 - 1
KOL
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
KOL
0 - 0
LEV
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
KOL
1 - 1
SGF
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |