Kei Lun vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MCA
5 - 0
KLM
57%
19%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KLM
0 - 3
PSP
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
KLM
57%
19%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KLM
0 - 1
CPK
54%
19%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
WAK
4 - 1
KLM
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 1
WAK
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
58%
19%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 0
CPO
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
PSP
1 - 6
SMA
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
4 - 2
LAI
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |