Kei Lun vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
KLM
57%
19%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KLM
0 - 1
CPK
54%
19%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
WAK
4 - 1
KLM
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
CPO
1 - 2
KLM
56%
19%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +11 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
LAI
1 - 1
KLM
56%
19%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -7 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PSP
0 - 5
MCA
36%
25%
40%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
PSP
1 - 6
SMA
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
PSP
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CPK
3 - 1
PSP
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
WAK
4 - 0
PSP
92%
6%
2%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | +10 |