Kagoshima United vs Azul Claro Numazu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagoshima United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TMF
3 - 2
KAG
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FUK
1 - 1
KAG
41%
26%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
KAG
1 - 3
YSC
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
KAG
1 - 0
GIF
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GAI
0 - 2
KAG
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Azul Claro Numazu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
AZU
1 - 3
ROA
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FUJ
5 - 1
AZU
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AZU
7 - 2
VAN
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TMF
2 - 1
AZU
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AZU
0 - 2
KAM
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |