Kagera Sugar vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MTI
1 - 1
KAG
35%
30%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
MBE
0 - 0
KAG
37%
30%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
DJF
0 - 0
KAG
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 1
NAM
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
KAG
1 - 2
AZA
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 1
SIM
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SIM
5 - 0
MTI
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
SIM
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SIM
4 - 1
VCL
27%
23%
50%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SIM
3 - 0
ALM
86%
11%
4%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |