Kagera Sugar vs Ruvu Shooting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
16º
10º
20
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KAG
2 - 0
POL
35%
31%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
COA
2 - 0
KAG
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
KAG
0 - 0
DJF
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
GGF
1 - 1
KAG
52%
27%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SIM
2 - 0
KAG
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ruvu Shooting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
KMC
0 - 0
RUV
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
RUV
1 - 2
YOU
31%
29%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
RUV
2 - 1
COA
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
RUV
1 - 0
POL
35%
30%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 0
RUV
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |