JV Lideral vs Bacabal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JV Lideral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SEN
1 - 3
JVL
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bacabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAC
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
BAC
0 - 0
SAM
39%
25%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
JOS
0 - 2
BAC
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
BAC
2 - 2
JOS
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAC
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |