Catarinense 2 Play Offs 1st Round
Global 1-3
Juventus SC vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
JUV
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 4
JUV
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 0
POR
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ECB
1 - 2
JUV
21%
21%
59%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 0
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
JUV
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
POR
0 - 3
GUA
17%
21%
63%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 0
ECB
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
GUA
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
XVO
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |