Juventus vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 1
FUL
58%
24%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
JUV
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
0 - 2
PAL
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
0 - 0
AJA
43%
24%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 2
JUV
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 1
PAR
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 2
SIE
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SIE
0 - 0
NAP
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 1
SIE
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 2
SAM
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |