Juventus vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
RMA
1 - 0
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
MES
0 - 0
JUV
16%
24%
60%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 1
UDI
69%
19%
13%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 0
JUV
15%
24%
61%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAM
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SIE
1 - 0
FIO
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 2
MES
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
REG
3 - 3
SIE
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 2
CAG
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 1
SIE
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |