Champions League Playoffs. Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Juventus vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 1
TOR
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
MON
0 - 2
JUV
31%
26%
43%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 2
JUV
19%
24%
57%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
JUV
4 - 0
GEN
83%
13%
4%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
FCB
0 - 0
JUV
77%
14%
9%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
ASN
0 - 3
MON
13%
19%
69%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
MON
0 - 2
JUV
31%
26%
43%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
TFC
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
PSG
5 - 0
MON
55%
22%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LYO
1 - 2
MON
40%
23%
37%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |