Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 1
JUV
11%
21%
68%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
JUV
3 - 1
NAP
58%
22%
20%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 0
EMP
85%
12%
4%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
FCP
0 - 2
JUV
26%
26%
49%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
JUV
4 - 1
PAL
82%
13%
5%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ACM
3 - 1
CHI
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SAS
0 - 1
ACM
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ACM
2 - 1
FIO
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ACM
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
BOL
0 - 1
ACM
21%
24%
55%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |