Juventus vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.2%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
3.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
PAL
1 - 1
JUV
14%
19%
67%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
JUV
2 - 2
SAM
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
BAR
1 - 3
JUV
16%
20%
64%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
JUV
3 - 1
ACM
69%
16%
15%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
ROM
2 - 2
JUV
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1960 |
BOL
2 - 3
LAZ
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
USA
0 - 0
LAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PAD
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
GEN
2 - 4
LAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |