Juventude Évora vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventude Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ALJ
1 - 3
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
LAG
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
JUV
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 2
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 2
JUV
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 0
LAG
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
VAS
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
FCC
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VAS
0 - 4
MOU
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 2
VAS
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | +1 |