Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 2-3
EC Juventude vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SCI
1 - 0
JUV
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
BRA
0 - 0
JUV
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAN
78%
15%
6%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
0 - 3
JUV
10%
17%
74%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 0
VER
77%
15%
7%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
BRA
5 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
BRA
0 - 0
JUV
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GAM
0 - 0
BRA
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
85%
11%
5%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 4
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |