Série D Brazil Final
Global 2-3
EC Juventude vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 0
JUV
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 0
TUP
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
ECS
0 - 1
JUV
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 3
ECS
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 0
MET
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAL
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 2
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 1
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 1
TIR
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 1
CEN
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |