Juventud vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 1
JUV
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 2
FEN
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
JUV
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
DAN
0 - 0
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 1
CER
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 2
SUD
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CER
0 - 3
DEF
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 2
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
DAN
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |