Juventud Independiente vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
UES
2 - 2
JUV
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
MET
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
FAS
1 - 0
JUV
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
AGU
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
JUV
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
ONC
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
VIS
1 - 1
ATL
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UES
0 - 2
ATL
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
MET
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FAS
1 - 1
ATL
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |