Juvenes / Dogana vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 5
TPE
13%
18%
69%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 0
VIR
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
TPE
3 - 0
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
TPE
3 - 2
JUV
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 2
MUR
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
COS
2 - 1
PEN
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 0
PEN
70%
20%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 3
TFI
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 3
COS
30%
22%
48%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 2
TPE
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |